European hotel profits fall as hotel openings increase competition

Profit per room at hotels in mainland Europe fell by 9 per cent year-on-year in January – the largest margin of decline in this measure since August 2016 – as revenues dropped and costs escalated, according to the latest data from HotStats.

However, conference average room rate in January was up 3.7 per cent year-on-year. Total conference and banqueting revenue exclusive of rooms was up 0.5 per cent in the month.

A glut of new hotel bedrooms throughout Europe seems to have created more competitive pricing.

David Eisen, director of Hotstats hotel intelligence and customer solutions, said: “I’d say that new supply does have an impact on demand, weakening it to some degree. In 2018, more than 53,000 rooms opened throughout Europe, which was reportedly the highest number of new hotel openings ever recorded. This has an impact on occupancy levels.”

January is historically a slow month for hotels in Europe and the dip should not portend gloom for the full year, according to the report. Hotstats says that this is evidenced by mainland Europe’s very successful year of operation in 2018, during which hotels in the region recorded a 9 per cent increase in GOPPAR (total gross operating profit for the period divided by the total available rooms during the period.)

But within the average figures, the story varied throughout Europe with Lisbon, for example, recording a 6.4 per cent decrease in profit per room while Madrid’s total gross operating profit GOPPAR soared by 31 per cent in the month. The growth in profit was led by a 9 per cent increase in average room rate, which hit €151.61 and was a fourth consecutive month of significant growth in rate.

2019 will continue to see high levels of cross-border investment

The strong levels of cross-border investment into the European hotel market – which reached $4.9b (£3.8b) in 2018 – will continue in 2019.

The JLL’s Hotel Investment Outlook 2019 predicts that, despite political uncertainty, tourism and business fundamentals remain solid thanks to strong infrastructure developments in the region, which will continue to attract international investors towards strong assets and opportunities in these markets.

Germany and the UK account for nearly 60% of pipeline rooms currently under construction and are expected to absorb additional supply in the medium term due to strong tourism growth forecasts.

The report predicts that the European hotel market will be driven mostly by single asset deals, with portfolio trades expected to reduce, given the significant volumes of transaction of this type seen over the past two years. Overall investment volumes across Europe, the Middle East and Africa are expected to soften to $21.2b (£16.3b) from $22.9b £17.6b) in 2018.

It also predicts the sector will see new investors emerging, with diverse sources of core and core-plus capital are increasingly considering investment in the hotel market, and an increase in hotels entering the flexible workspace market transforming hotel lobbies into communal workspaces.

Philip Ward, EMEA CEO, JLL Hotels & Hospitality Group, said: “Political uncertainty and the volatility in equity markets will test investors’ sentiment throughout the year. However, we expect hotel investment volumes to hold steady on 2018 levels owing to hotels’ attractive yield profile compared to other sectors.”